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docs/qa_reports/miami/__cross_publisher_race.json

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{
  "summary": {
    "years": [
      "2018-19",
      "2022-23",
      "2023-24"
    ],
    "verdict": "PASS",
    "uniform_split_school_years": [],
    "verdict_note": "Served FLDOE-derived share vs NCES CCD race subtotal. (a) CONSISTENCY, not accuracy: |\u0394| within the process bound min(9 \u00d7 hidden cells, unallocated) / total + 0.5 pp for \u2265 99% of school-years, per share, with hidden cells counted as the loader counts them \u2014 any allocation that respects the cap and sums to the total satisfies it (the plain equal split included), so a failure means a loader defect, not a poor prior; (b) no school-year served with all seven shares equal; (c) ACCURACY against the no-information reference: the served share's mean |\u0394| from CCD is no larger than the equal split's (the two coincide except where the capped adjacent-year prior applies, 2022-23). The prior was chosen among five candidates on CCD 2022-23, the same reference reported here (in-sample selection; the held-out split-half check is in docs/cities/miami/probe/race_imputation_prior.py). Mean |\u0394| and the within-2-pp share are informational."
  },
  "by_metric": {
    "pct_black": {
      "n_pairs": 1533,
      "within_bound": 1533,
      "within_bound_share": 1.0,
      "within_2pp": 1385,
      "within_2pp_share": 0.903457273320287,
      "median_delta": 0.0,
      "mean_abs_delta": 0.8758065558266108,
      "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 1.38016555829809,
      "beats_equal_split": true,
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "largest": [
        [
          "7861",
          "2022-23",
          19.64,
          62.5,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "4651",
          "2018-19",
          33.33,
          72.73,
          82.32
        ],
        [
          "7835",
          "2018-19",
          43.75,
          67.31,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7892",
          "2023-24",
          50.0,
          72.22,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7840",
          "2018-19",
          66.67,
          87.18,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7811",
          "2022-23",
          39.39,
          57.89,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7805",
          "2023-24",
          75.0,
          92.86,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "8012",
          "2023-24",
          45.45,
          27.78,
          100.5
        ]
      ]
    },
    "pct_hispanic": {
      "n_pairs": 1533,
      "within_bound": 1533,
      "within_bound_share": 1.0,
      "within_2pp": 1375,
      "within_2pp_share": 0.8969341161121983,
      "median_delta": 0.0,
      "mean_abs_delta": 0.7679654293623916,
      "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 1.2701901124913315,
      "beats_equal_split": true,
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "largest": [
        [
          "7861",
          "2022-23",
          73.81,
          37.5,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7855",
          "2022-23",
          50.0,
          81.82,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "6997",
          "2018-19",
          55.56,
          82.61,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "5417",
          "2023-24",
          33.33,
          56.25,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "8012",
          "2023-24",
          45.45,
          66.67,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "6997",
          "2023-24",
          56.47,
          77.27,
          75.95
        ],
        [
          "7840",
          "2018-19",
          33.33,
          12.82,
          69.73
        ],
        [
          "7811",
          "2022-23",
          30.68,
          10.53,
          100.5
        ]
      ]
    },
    "pct_white": {
      "n_pairs": 1533,
      "within_bound": 1533,
      "within_bound_share": 1.0,
      "within_2pp": 1350,
      "within_2pp_share": 0.8806262230919765,
      "median_delta": 0.0,
      "mean_abs_delta": 0.9327424846746709,
      "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 1.2347621314110193,
      "beats_equal_split": true,
      "verdict": "PASS",
      "largest": [
        [
          "7855",
          "2022-23",
          25.0,
          9.09,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "7892",
          "2023-24",
          25.0,
          11.11,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "8181",
          "2023-24",
          23.43,
          9.9,
          62.88
        ],
        [
          "6997",
          "2023-24",
          29.02,
          17.27,
          75.95
        ],
        [
          "7863",
          "2018-19",
          14.29,
          4.55,
          41.41
        ],
        [
          "7855",
          "2023-24",
          25.0,
          15.38,
          100.5
        ],
        [
          "1019",
          "2022-23",
          9.52,
          18.57,
          23.36
        ],
        [
          "8121",
          "2018-19",
          12.65,
          3.7,
          33.83
        ]
      ]
    }
  },
  "by_year": {
    "2018-19": {
      "hidden_cells": 5700,
      "tokens_resolved_as_zero": 0,
      "by_metric": {
        "pct_black": {
          "n_pairs": 500,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.904,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.9053416488150688,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 0.9053416488150688,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.0
        },
        "pct_hispanic": {
          "n_pairs": 500,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.884,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.8236294145444824,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 0.8236294145444824,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.0
        },
        "pct_white": {
          "n_pairs": 500,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.872,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.9358186863691705,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 0.9358186863691705,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.0
        }
      }
    },
    "2022-23": {
      "hidden_cells": 15982,
      "tokens_resolved_as_zero": 1482,
      "by_metric": {
        "pct_black": {
          "n_pairs": 515,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.9106796116504854,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.8902606897707437,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 2.3915856427586615,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.6277529544190439
        },
        "pct_hispanic": {
          "n_pairs": 515,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.9223300970873787,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.6551580732219718,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 2.150129799895107,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.6952937105220656
        },
        "pct_white": {
          "n_pairs": 515,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.9029126213592233,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.8358901813087868,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 1.734911770525917,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.5181944145462815
        }
      }
    },
    "2023-24": {
      "hidden_cells": 5961,
      "tokens_resolved_as_zero": 0,
      "by_metric": {
        "pct_black": {
          "n_pairs": 518,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.8957528957528957,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.8329273560670405,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 0.8329273560670405,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.0
        },
        "pct_hispanic": {
          "n_pairs": 518,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.8841698841698842,
          "mean_abs_delta": 0.8263897456196717,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 0.8263897456196716,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": -2.220446049250313e-16
        },
        "pct_white": {
          "n_pairs": 518,
          "within_bound_share": 1.0,
          "within_2pp_share": 0.8667953667953668,
          "mean_abs_delta": 1.0260645607097685,
          "mean_abs_delta_equal_split_baseline": 1.0260645607097685,
          "lift_vs_equal_split": 0.0
        }
      }
    }
  }
}