data/analysis/miami-survey-enrollment.json
Served verbatim from the project repository. Internal working document conventions apply: documents may reference file paths, branch names, and findings-ledger anchors from the repo.
{
"meta": {
"generated_at": "2026-09-16T22:43:08.283932+00:00",
"scoring_version": "favorable-response-v2",
"end_year": "2025-26",
"survey_years": [
"2021-22",
"2022-23"
],
"controls": [
"utilization_permanent_pct",
"school_grade_letter_index",
"log_enrollment",
"level dummies"
],
"followup_years": {
"2021-22": 4,
"2022-23": 3
},
"cohort_comparison_note": "Total log changes over different follow-up durations, with the same endpoint and overlapping schools; not independent replications of an identical horizon.",
"year_to_year_correlation_note": "Descriptive stability; does not identify measurement reliability or explain the difference between coefficients.",
"universe": "district-run schools, active, with October membership in both years and all controls",
"utilization_basis": {
"2021-22": "October 2021-22 headcount \u00f7 2022-23 permanent capacity (first FISH report) \u00d7 100",
"2022-23": "served utilization_permanent_pct for 2022-23"
},
"multiple_testing": {
"family_size": 12,
"method": "Holm step-down over all predictor \u00d7 cohort tests",
"survive_05": [
"survey_parents_recommend 2021-22",
"survey_students_recommend 2021-22",
"survey_parents_teaching 2021-22",
"survey_students_safety 2021-22",
"survey_staff_leadership 2021-22",
"survey_students_recommend 2022-23",
"survey_staff_leadership 2022-23"
]
}
},
"by_survey_year": {
"2021-22": {
"n_controls_only": 305,
"funnel": {
"schools_with_any_metric_row_in_survey_year": 527,
"with_survey_year_membership": 504,
"with_any_survey_predictor": 462,
"with_end_year_membership": 488,
"dropped_no_end_year_membership_closed_or_merged": 16,
"district_run_active": 341,
"with_membership_both_years": 341,
"with_utilization_permanent_pct": 315,
"with_school_grade_letter_index": 305,
"with_log_enrollment": 305
},
"predictors": {
"survey_parents_recommend": {
"n": 256,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00553,
"se": 0.00104,
"t": 5.296,
"p": 2.630081286092434e-07,
"median_respondents_per_school": 52.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00348,
0.00757
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 6.936,
"predictor_sd_pp": 12.13,
"r2_controls": 0.0615,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1575,
"partial_r2": 0.1023,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.3145,
"raw_p": 2.760542511965067e-07,
"p_holm": 3.1560975433109206e-06,
"survives_holm_05": true
},
"survey_students_recommend": {
"n": 298,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00401,
"se": 0.00111,
"t": 3.619,
"p": 0.00034889071407451233,
"median_respondents_per_school": 191.5,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00184,
0.00618
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 5.94,
"predictor_sd_pp": 14.38,
"r2_controls": 0.0875,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1273,
"partial_r2": 0.0437,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.2123,
"raw_p": 0.00022247586937777504,
"p_holm": 0.003140016426670611,
"survives_holm_05": true
},
"survey_parents_teaching": {
"n": 256,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00822,
"se": 0.0016,
"t": 5.142,
"p": 5.556912425763727e-07,
"median_respondents_per_school": 52.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00508,
0.01135
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 7.48,
"predictor_sd_pp": 8.78,
"r2_controls": 0.0615,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1526,
"partial_r2": 0.097,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.2839,
"raw_p": 3.923017993582861e-06,
"p_holm": 6.1126036683401e-06,
"survives_holm_05": true
},
"survey_students_safety": {
"n": 298,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00324,
"se": 0.00105,
"t": 3.092,
"p": 0.0021864596823626403,
"median_respondents_per_school": 191.5,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00119,
0.00529
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 5.311,
"predictor_sd_pp": 15.97,
"r2_controls": 0.0875,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1169,
"partial_r2": 0.0322,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.2265,
"raw_p": 7.965392847014977e-05,
"p_holm": 0.017491677458901123,
"survives_holm_05": true
},
"survey_students_teaching": {
"n": 298,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00304,
"se": 0.00196,
"t": 1.549,
"p": 0.1224070220789717,
"median_respondents_per_school": 191.5,
"ci95_per_pp": [
-0.00081,
0.00689
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.39,
"predictor_sd_pp": 10.96,
"r2_controls": 0.0875,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.0951,
"partial_r2": 0.0083,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.1294,
"raw_p": 0.025525462097257177,
"p_holm": 0.39653074945727695,
"survives_holm_05": false
},
"survey_staff_leadership": {
"n": 301,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00247,
"se": 0.00089,
"t": 2.767,
"p": 0.006028427686446403,
"median_respondents_per_school": 32.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00072,
0.00421
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.476,
"predictor_sd_pp": 13.86,
"r2_controls": 0.0832,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1068,
"partial_r2": 0.0257,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.1576,
"raw_p": 0.00615705091191661,
"p_holm": 0.036170566118678416,
"survives_holm_05": true
}
},
"controls_only": {
"r2": 0.0859,
"n": 305,
"coef": {
"intercept": 0.13237,
"utilization_permanent_pct": -0.00018,
"school_grade_letter_index": 0.02628,
"log_enrollment": -0.02844
},
"se": {
"intercept": 0.20747,
"utilization_permanent_pct": 0.0007,
"school_grade_letter_index": 0.01552,
"log_enrollment": 0.03157
}
}
},
"2022-23": {
"n_controls_only": 306,
"funnel": {
"schools_with_any_metric_row_in_survey_year": 525,
"with_survey_year_membership": 515,
"with_any_survey_predictor": 452,
"with_end_year_membership": 500,
"dropped_no_end_year_membership_closed_or_merged": 15,
"district_run_active": 341,
"with_membership_both_years": 341,
"with_utilization_permanent_pct": 315,
"with_school_grade_letter_index": 306,
"with_log_enrollment": 306
},
"predictors": {
"survey_parents_recommend": {
"n": 265,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00197,
"se": 0.00124,
"t": 1.592,
"p": 0.1125197164497489,
"median_respondents_per_school": 55.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
-0.00045,
0.00439
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 2.003,
"predictor_sd_pp": 10.07,
"r2_controls": 0.1069,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1157,
"partial_r2": 0.0099,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.0822,
"raw_p": 0.18230002893740682,
"p_holm": 0.39653074945727695,
"survives_holm_05": false
},
"survey_students_recommend": {
"n": 289,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00342,
"se": 0.00091,
"t": 3.763,
"p": 0.0002049810009454589,
"median_respondents_per_school": 158.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00164,
0.00521
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 5.289,
"predictor_sd_pp": 15.05,
"r2_controls": 0.1253,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1677,
"partial_r2": 0.0485,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.2255,
"raw_p": 0.00010993949685665341,
"p_holm": 0.002049810009454589,
"survives_holm_05": true
},
"survey_parents_teaching": {
"n": 265,
"coef_per_pp": 0.002,
"se": 0.00156,
"t": 1.278,
"p": 0.20254555414856923,
"median_respondents_per_school": 55.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
-0.00107,
0.00506
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 1.734,
"predictor_sd_pp": 8.62,
"r2_controls": 0.1069,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1126,
"partial_r2": 0.0064,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.0274,
"raw_p": 0.6564492007956537,
"p_holm": 0.39653074945727695,
"survives_holm_05": false
},
"survey_students_safety": {
"n": 289,
"coef_per_pp": 0.00229,
"se": 0.00092,
"t": 2.49,
"p": 0.013354905169843168,
"median_respondents_per_school": 158.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00049,
0.0041
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.845,
"predictor_sd_pp": 16.46,
"r2_controls": 0.1253,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1444,
"partial_r2": 0.0218,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.204,
"raw_p": 0.0004835040851640803,
"p_holm": 0.06677452584921584,
"survives_holm_05": false
},
"survey_students_teaching": {
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"se": 0.00144,
"t": 1.655,
"p": 0.09913268736431924,
"median_respondents_per_school": 158.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
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0.00519
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 2.861,
"predictor_sd_pp": 11.88,
"r2_controls": 0.1253,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1339,
"partial_r2": 0.0098,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.103,
"raw_p": 0.08048306415539133,
"p_holm": 0.39653074945727695,
"survives_holm_05": false
},
"survey_staff_leadership": {
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"coef_per_pp": 0.00278,
"se": 0.00095,
"t": 2.93,
"p": 0.0036657696578581422,
"median_respondents_per_school": 34.0,
"ci95_per_pp": [
0.00092,
0.00464
],
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.161,
"predictor_sd_pp": 11.19,
"r2_controls": 0.1192,
"r2_with_predictor": 0.1448,
"partial_r2": 0.029,
"raw_pearson_r": 0.1632,
"raw_p": 0.004749784109382496,
"p_holm": 0.025660387605006996,
"survives_holm_05": true
}
},
"controls_only": {
"r2": 0.1097,
"n": 306,
"coef": {
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"utilization_permanent_pct": 0.00086,
"school_grade_letter_index": 0.0111,
"log_enrollment": -0.00596
},
"se": {
"intercept": 0.17406,
"utilization_permanent_pct": 0.00058,
"school_grade_letter_index": 0.01238,
"log_enrollment": 0.02613
}
}
}
},
"common_schools": {
"years": [
"2021-22",
"2022-23"
],
"n_boot": 2000,
"predictors": {
"survey_parents_recommend": {
"n_common": 242,
"n_published": [
256,
265
],
"2021-22": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00644,
"se": 0.0011,
"t": 5.842,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 7.132
},
"2022-23": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00319,
"se": 0.0011,
"t": 2.89,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.47
},
"difference_per_pp": -0.00325,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
-0.00564,
-0.00097
],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.003,
"ratio_second_to_first": 0.495,
"year_to_year_pearson_r": 0.6016,
"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 10.7,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
54.0,
58.0
]
},
"survey_students_recommend": {
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"n_published": [
298,
289
],
"2021-22": {
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"se": 0.00113,
"t": 3.702,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 6.37
},
"2022-23": {
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"se": 0.00095,
"t": 3.86,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 5.54
},
"difference_per_pp": -0.00053,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
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0.00148
],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.514,
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"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 14.71,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
192.0,
160.0
]
},
"survey_parents_teaching": {
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"n_published": [
256,
265
],
"2021-22": {
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"se": 0.00166,
"t": 4.983,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 7.346
},
"2022-23": {
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"se": 0.0014,
"t": 2.47,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.008
},
"difference_per_pp": -0.00482,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
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],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.0,
"ratio_second_to_first": 0.418,
"year_to_year_pearson_r": 0.6821,
"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 8.55,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
54.0,
58.0
]
},
"survey_students_safety": {
"n_common": 283,
"n_published": [
298,
289
],
"2021-22": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00356,
"se": 0.00109,
"t": 3.253,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 5.919
},
"2022-23": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00245,
"se": 0.00095,
"t": 2.585,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 4.034
},
"difference_per_pp": -0.00111,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
-0.00316,
0.00132
],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.404,
"ratio_second_to_first": 0.688,
"year_to_year_pearson_r": 0.8773,
"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 16.18,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
192.0,
160.0
]
},
"survey_students_teaching": {
"n_common": 283,
"n_published": [
298,
289
],
"2021-22": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00351,
"se": 0.00205,
"t": 1.715,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 4.096
},
"2022-23": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00259,
"se": 0.0015,
"t": 1.721,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.002
},
"difference_per_pp": -0.00092,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
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0.00267
],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.672,
"ratio_second_to_first": 0.737,
"year_to_year_pearson_r": 0.8548,
"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 11.43,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
192.0,
160.0
]
},
"survey_staff_leadership": {
"n_common": 294,
"n_published": [
301,
298
],
"2021-22": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00264,
"se": 0.00089,
"t": 2.954,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.385
},
"2022-23": {
"coef_per_pp": 0.00261,
"se": 0.00095,
"t": 2.748,
"effect_of_1sd_in_pct_enrollment": 3.343
},
"difference_per_pp": -3e-05,
"difference_ci95_bootstrap": [
-0.00213,
0.00226
],
"difference_p_bootstrap": 0.966,
"ratio_second_to_first": 0.988,
"year_to_year_pearson_r": 0.5958,
"predictor_sd_pooled_pp": 12.62,
"median_respondents_per_school": [
32.0,
34.0
]
}
}
},
"coverage": {
"active_schools": {
"district": 385,
"charter": 157
},
"active_regular": {
"district": 322,
"charter": 140
},
"students_universe": {
"year": "2024-25",
"note": "active REGULAR schools with October membership in grades 4-12",
"eligible": {
"district": 314,
"charter": 130
},
"with_students_safety": {
"district": 310,
"charter": 76
}
},
"by_respondent_year": [
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2018-19",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 331,
"with_value_active": 316,
"cells": 336
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2018-19",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 107,
"with_value_active": 95,
"cells": 110
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2020-21",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 268,
"with_value_active": 263,
"cells": 335
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2020-21",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 66,
"with_value_active": 63,
"cells": 111
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2021-22",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 277,
"with_value_active": 271,
"cells": 336
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2021-22",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 59,
"with_value_active": 57,
"cells": 103
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2022-23",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 287,
"with_value_active": 279,
"cells": 322
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2022-23",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 81,
"with_value_active": 78,
"cells": 105
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2023-24",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 282,
"with_value_active": 276,
"cells": 341
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2023-24",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 57,
"with_value_active": 57,
"cells": 119
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2024-25",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 289,
"with_value_active": 281,
"cells": 344
},
{
"respondent": "parents",
"year": "2024-25",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 67,
"with_value_active": 64,
"cells": 138
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2019-20",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 321,
"with_value_active": 308,
"cells": 337
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2019-20",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 78,
"with_value_active": 72,
"cells": 108
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2020-21",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 337,
"with_value_active": 323,
"cells": 355
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2020-21",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 81,
"with_value_active": 77,
"cells": 106
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2021-22",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 345,
"with_value_active": 333,
"cells": 364
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2021-22",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 75,
"with_value_active": 71,
"cells": 101
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2022-23",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 324,
"with_value_active": 315,
"cells": 347
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2022-23",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 87,
"with_value_active": 84,
"cells": 120
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2023-24",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 328,
"with_value_active": 318,
"cells": 345
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2023-24",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 86,
"with_value_active": 84,
"cells": 124
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2024-25",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 325,
"with_value_active": 315,
"cells": 339
},
{
"respondent": "staff",
"year": "2024-25",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 85,
"with_value_active": 82,
"cells": 120
},
{
"respondent": "students",
"year": "2018-19",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 319,
"with_value_active": 305,
"cells": 322
},
{
"respondent": "students",
"year": "2018-19",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 103,
"with_value_active": 91,
"cells": 107
},
{
"respondent": "students",
"year": "2019-20",
"sector": "district",
"with_value": 310,
"with_value_active": 297,
"cells": 347
},
{
"respondent": "students",
"year": "2019-20",
"sector": "charter",
"with_value": 87,
"with_value_active": 80,
"cells": 119
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