# Validation — outcome metrics

## (ii) Base case

| metric | years | common | matches | mismatches | suppressed | status |
|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
| `pct_ell` | 2018-19, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 | 3075 | 576 | 0 | 2499 | PASS |
| `pct_ell_lower_bound` | 2018-19, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 | 3075 | 3075 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `pct_ell_upper_bound` | 2018-19, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 | 3075 | 3075 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `ela_achievement` | 2018-19, 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25 | 2273 | 2273 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `math_achievement` | 2024-25 | 462 | 462 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `pct_econ_disadv` | 2024-25 | 469 | 469 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `chronic_absenteeism_rate` | 2017-18, 2019-20, 2022-23, 2024-25 | 2048 | 2037 | 0 | 11 | PASS |
| `absent_21plus_rate` | 2016-17, 2024-25 | 1013 | 1005 | 0 | 8 | PASS |
| `graduation_rate_4yr` | 2023-24, 2024-25 | 283 | 240 | 0 | 43 | PASS |
| `fast_ela_g3_proficiency` | 2023-24 | 299 | 292 | 0 | 7 | PASS |
| `fast_math_g8_proficiency` | 2024-25 | 198 | 177 | 0 | 21 | PASS |
| `eoc_alg1_proficiency` | 2024-25 | 289 | 273 | 0 | 16 | PASS |
| `science_g5_proficiency` | 2022-23 | 294 | 289 | 0 | 5 | PASS |
| `science_g8_proficiency` | 2022-23 | 188 | 174 | 0 | 14 | PASS |
| `survey_students_safety` | 2019-20, 2021-22, 2024-25 | 1440 | 1238 | 0 | 202 | PASS |
| `survey_parents_teaching` | 2018-19, 2021-22, 2023-24 | 1345 | 1113 | 0 | 232 | PASS |
| `survey_staff_leadership` | 2020-21, 2021-22, 2022-23 | 1393 | 1249 | 0 | 144 | PASS |
| `survey_staff_safety` | 2024-25 | 459 | 410 | 0 | 49 | PASS |
| `survey_staff_teaching` | 2021-22, 2024-25 | 924 | 830 | 0 | 94 | PASS |
| `school_grade_points_pct` | 2022-23, 2024-25 | 937 | 937 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `science_achievement` | 2022-23 | 452 | 452 | 0 | 0 | PASS |
| `learning_gains_math_l25` | 2023-24 | 446 | 446 | 0 | 0 | PASS |

## (iii-b) Cross-publisher — FLDOE absent-10%+ vs EDFacts DG814, 2022-23

Verdict: **PASS** — no-PK schools within ±1: 253/264 (95.8%); PK schools' gap = 0.661 × PK membership (r = 0.86). Detail: `__cross_publisher_absenteeism.md`.

## (iii-b) Cross-publisher — FLDOE race shares vs NCES CCD

Verdict: **PASS** — pct_black: 90.3% within 2 pp (median Δ +0.00); pct_hispanic: 89.7% within 2 pp (median Δ +0.00); pct_white: 88.1% within 2 pp (median Δ +0.00). Detail: `__cross_publisher_race.md`.

## Residual-z checks

Verdict: **PASS** — independent N, eligibility and refit: max |Δz| 4.1e-11 over 46 fits; served = committed: 19457 cells, 0 CSV-only, 0 served-only. Detail: `__residual_checks.md`.

## (iv) Served-value invariants

Verdict: **REVIEW** — range violations 0, identity violations 0, stale rows 0, shift alarms 146 (16 unexplained). Detail: `__served_invariants.md`.